Packaging is the stock out nobody plans for

When we ran DORA on a spreadsheet, the thing that stopped production was never the powder. It was the bag.

Powder came from one supplier with a two week lead time. Empty bags came from another with a four week lead time and a minimum order of 500. Scoops from a third. A fill run needs all three on the same day at the factory, and the spreadsheet only tracked the finished product.

Count the components

Hylla keeps two inventories: sellable stock (what is at your 3PL, read from your store) and packaging at the factory (what you count by hand). A planned fill run reserves its components. If a component is short, the order by date for that component appears in your timeline, usually weeks before the fill run itself.

MOQs are part of the plan

A minimum order quantity means you will sometimes order more than you need. That is fine, as long as the plan knows. Hylla rounds every suggestion up to the MOQ and shows you the surplus, so the next run starts with a known amount at the factory rather than a guess.

The rule we use

If a fill run is planned, every component for it gets an order by date. The earliest one is the one that matters.

That rule removed stock outs for us entirely. Not because we got better at forecasting, but because we stopped forgetting the bag.